Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | UGA +100 CLEM -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +3 | 191 | Lost |
| Massey | UGA -4.8 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.1 (+31.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -1.1 (-4.1) | 150.7 (+40.3) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -1.4 (-4.4) | 147.0 (+44.0) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -0.5 (-3.5) | 149.2 (+41.8) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -0.5 (-3.5) | 152.3 (+38.7) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 6-4 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 89.4 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 16.8 (#12) | 11.9 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.24 (#35) | 2.01 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.61 (#64) | 3.22 (#43) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#82) | 0.535 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 25.9% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 45.5 | 41.5 |
| OREB / G | 16.3 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 2.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 12.0% |
| ORB% | 42.1% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 32.6% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.1% | 41.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.4% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 65.1% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.6% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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