Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | HOU -6500 SYR +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +4 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -1.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.0 (+27.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -1.4 (+2.6) | 127.6 (+24.4) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -3.6 (+0.4) | 131.9 (+20.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -1.3 (+2.7) | 124.7 (+27.3) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -0.2 (+3.8) | 123.8 (+28.2) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 28, 2021 | HOU 62 – 46 SYR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-7 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-1 | 12-6 |
| Away | 6-3 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 9-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.9 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.3 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 12.6 (#31) | 11.4 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.59 (#24) | 1.31 (#96) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.28 (#40) | 1.87 (#101) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#55) | 0.478 (#215) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 52.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.79 | 1.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 58.1% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 13.8% |
| ORB% | 37.8% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 13.2% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.3% | 34.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.5% | 24.3% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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