Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | ORST +3500 MASS -50000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +8 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | MASS -2.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.8 (-17.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -0.8 (-7.2) | 143.1 (-5.1) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -2.0 (-6.0) | 143.3 (-5.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -2.1 (-5.9) | 145.5 (-7.5) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -1.7 (-6.3) | 146.8 (-8.8) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-5 | 11-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 78.8 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#250) | -2.0 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#207) | -1.22 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#228) | -1.61 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#120) | 0.383 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 36.1% |
| FT Rate | 38.4% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 77.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 37.6% |
Game Analysis
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