Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | LAM +160 OAK -192 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +15 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | LAM -8.0 (-23.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -7.1 (-22.1) | 145.6 (+5.4) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -7.5 (-22.5) | 145.5 (+5.5) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -7.3 (-22.3) | 145.6 (+5.4) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -6.6 (-21.6) | 147.3 (+3.7) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 7-15 | 12-8 |
| Home | 7-8 | 7-6 |
| Away | 5-10 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L8 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 81.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 82.8 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#100) | -2.9 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#106) | -1.93 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#108) | -3.61 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#189) | 0.538 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 11.3% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 61.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 11.8% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.7% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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