Betting Lines
| Spread | KENN -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | KENN -1450 RICE +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENN +5 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | KENN -7.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.6 (+8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENN -5.8 (-0.8) | 150.6 (+22.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENN -4.1 (+0.9) | 150.3 (+22.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENN -4.4 (+0.6) | 149.8 (+23.2) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENN -5.1 (-0.1) | 152.5 (+20.5) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-3 | 8-8 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.0 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#173) | -7.0 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#267) | -1.67 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.08 (#286) | -2.00 (#281) |
| RPI | 0.387 (#318) | 0.463 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 35.2% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.1% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 48.1% | 30.7% |
Game Analysis
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