Betting Lines
| O/U | 164.5 Under |
| Money | YSU -122 GASO +102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +6 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | GASO -2.1 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.3 (-40.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GASO -1.2 (+7.2) | 153.1 (-25.1) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GASO -1.1 (+7.1) | 152.5 (-24.5) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GASO -1.5 (+7.5) | 151.4 (-23.4) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GASO -1.5 (+7.5) | 153.4 (-25.4) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 21-16 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 80.3 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#217) | -0.2 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#274) | 0.64 (#135) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#264) | -0.08 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#233) | 0.508 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 28.8 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 60.9% | 59.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.4% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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