Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | KU -205 SYR +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +11 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | KU -3.9 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (-9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -2.9 (+8.1) | 139.0 (-8.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -1.6 (+9.4) | 135.7 (-4.7) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -1.8 (+9.2) | 135.7 (-4.7) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -2.2 (+8.8) | 137.3 (-6.3) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-2 | 12-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 15.1 (#20) | 11.3 (#46) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#83) | 0.92 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.42 (#78) | 1.46 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.603 (#53) | 0.482 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 50.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.9% | 37.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.