Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | ACU -112 W&M -108 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | W&M +34 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | W&M -10.7 (-23.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (+3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | W&M -6.0 (-28.0) | 140.3 (+9.7) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | W&M -6.0 (-28.0) | 138.3 (+11.7) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -6.1 (-27.9) | 138.9 (+11.1) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | W&M -6.2 (-27.8) | 139.2 (+10.8) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-2 |
| Away | 3-12 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 78.9 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#261) | 5.3 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#231) | 1.45 (#84) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#266) | 2.01 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#243) | 0.581 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.2% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 31.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.5% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.