Betting Lines
| Spread | BC -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | BC -345 HARV +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BC +13 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | BC -6.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.1 (-1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BC -7.7 (+5.3) | 130.2 (+2.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BC -6.0 (+7.0) | 132.8 (+0.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BC -4.7 (+8.3) | 132.6 (+0.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BC -5.0 (+8.0) | 131.7 (+1.3) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2023 | BC 73 – 64 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 17-12 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 10-4 |
| Home | 10-7 | 8-4 |
| Away | 1-10 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 67.3 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#160) | -0.0 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#225) | -0.73 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#195) | -2.04 (#287) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#223) | 0.447 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 25.0% | 40.2% |
| REB / G | 41.9 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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