Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | UVU -360 SAM +285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +44 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -7.9 (+36.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.0 (-20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -5.3 (+38.7) | 144.8 (-10.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -5.0 (+39.0) | 144.9 (-10.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -4.6 (+39.4) | 147.3 (-13.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -4.7 (+39.3) | 147.5 (-13.5) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2024 | SAM 84 – 76 UVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | SAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 11-7 |
| Home | 15-1 | 11-3 |
| Away | 6-7 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 77.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#113) | -3.8 (#237) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#149) | -0.68 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#105) | -1.21 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#120) | 0.477 (#212) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | SAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.8% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 12.9% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.5% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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