Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | GCU +330 IOWA -425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +13 | 105 | Lost |
| Massey | IOWA -12.2 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (-38.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -8.2 (-4.8) | 140.2 (-35.2) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -8.8 (-4.2) | 137.5 (-32.5) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -7.8 (-5.2) | 141.1 (-36.1) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -8.6 (-4.4) | 142.7 (-37.7) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 20, 2021 | IOWA 86 – 74 GCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-4 | 15-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#130) | 14.7 (#24) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#217) | 2.72 (#27) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#239) | 4.27 (#26) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#204) | 0.600 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 55.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 39.4% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 63.0% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 33.2% | 42.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 78.7% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.