Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Under |
| Money | MIA +285 BYU -360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +10 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | MIA -1.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.7 (-26.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -2.9 (-7.1) | 152.9 (-18.9) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -0.0 (-10.0) | 153.5 (-19.5) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -0.9 (-9.1) | 154.6 (-20.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -1.4 (-8.6) | 157.5 (-23.5) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIA | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 8-2 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 83.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 75.4 |
| Massey | 17.8 (#10) | 16.8 (#16) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#86) | 1.80 (#62) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#84) | 3.19 (#50) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#151) | 0.653 (#16) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIA | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.9% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 41.3 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 2.03 | 1.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.5% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 11.1% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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