Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | SEA -340 TXST +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +14 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -12.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.5 (-13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -7.7 (+6.3) | 133.2 (-15.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -6.2 (+7.8) | 133.9 (-15.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -6.1 (+7.9) | 135.0 (-17.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -6.4 (+7.6) | 134.2 (-16.2) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-4 | 16-1 |
| Away | 5-8 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#96) | -7.1 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#140) | 0.25 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#112) | -0.03 (#183) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#177) | 0.498 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.0% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 43.3% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.0% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.