Betting Lines
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +5 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -7.4 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (-17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -4.2 (-0.8) | 139.6 (-18.6) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -3.7 (-1.3) | 139.9 (-18.9) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -3.9 (-1.1) | 140.9 (-19.9) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -3.7 (-1.3) | 138.7 (-17.7) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-6 | 10-2 |
| Away | 1-13 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#252) | 2.0 (#140) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#247) | -0.17 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#248) | -0.22 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#245) | 0.507 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 32.2% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 36.4% |
Game Analysis
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