Betting Lines
| Spread | BTLR -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | BTLR -1600 WRST +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BTLR +25 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | BTLR -16.2 (+8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (+15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BTLR -15.4 (+9.6) | 147.5 (+15.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BTLR -14.8 (+10.2) | 143.5 (+19.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BTLR -16.3 (+8.7) | 144.4 (+18.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BTLR -15.5 (+9.5) | 145.5 (+17.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 15-5 |
| Home | 10-7 | 11-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 79.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.5 | 75.6 |
| Massey | 13.7 (#28) | 3.2 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.76 (#24) | -0.72 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.35 (#23) | -1.12 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.609 (#43) | 0.505 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 40.3% | 40.0% |
| REB / G | 46.0 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 43.8% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 33.2% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.1% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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