Florida Atlantic
Owls
86
–
78
FINAL
Neutral
Shriners Children’s Charleston Classic
Oklahoma State
Cowboys
Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | FAU -135 OKST +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +8 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -6.2 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 186.2 (-22.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -2.7 (+5.3) | 160.4 (+3.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -3.0 (+5.0) | 154.5 (+9.5) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -0.4 (+7.6) | 163.4 (+0.6) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -2.4 (+5.6) | 163.0 (+1.0) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 17-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-13 |
| Home | 8-5 | 13-4 |
| Away | 6-7 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.4 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 11.8 (#33) | 5.5 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#49) | 2.17 (#34) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.10 (#41) | 3.70 (#23) |
| RPI | 0.689 (#18) | 0.672 (#25) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.9% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 45.8% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.3% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 13.6% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 58.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 25.2% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 77.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 13.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.