Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +1 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | SLU -8.8 (-9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -4.8 (-5.8) | 152.9 (+2.1) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -5.8 (-6.8) | 151.1 (+3.9) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -5.1 (-6.1) | 152.4 (+2.6) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -4.1 (-5.1) | 153.8 (+1.2) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 9-9 |
| Home | 19-0 | 12-6 |
| Away | 7-3 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.4 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 13.8 (#30) | 5.0 (#104) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.48 (#12) | 0.56 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.90 (#14) | 0.81 (#141) |
| RPI | 0.610 (#42) | 0.542 (#112) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.5% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 43.5 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.0% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 30.4% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.9% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 23.1% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 79.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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