Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | DRKE +600 LSU -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +9 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | LSU -15.9 (+6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.2 (-21.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -10.1 (+1.1) | 151.3 (-18.3) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -11.7 (+2.7) | 148.9 (-15.9) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -12.0 (+3.0) | 147.6 (-14.6) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -11.7 (+2.7) | 149.9 (-16.9) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-20 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 3-15 |
| Home | 6-11 | 9-8 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 78.5 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#178) | 15.2 (#23) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#194) | 2.11 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#146) | 3.73 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#201) | 0.553 (#98) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 54.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 44.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 61.2% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 40.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 40.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.1% | 16.5% |
Game Analysis
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