Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | VCU -300 HALL +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +3 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | VCU -9.5 (-12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 109.1 (+25.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -6.0 (-9.0) | 124.9 (+10.1) | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -5.4 (-8.4) | 123.5 (+11.5) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -7.2 (-10.2) | 119.8 (+15.2) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -5.8 (-8.8) | 126.1 (+8.9) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 2-18 |
| Home | 15-1 | 5-11 |
| Away | 7-3 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 61.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.0 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#49) | 0.3 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.17 (#33) | -0.85 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.41 (#33) | -0.51 (#212) |
| RPI | 0.639 (#42) | 0.417 (#284) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 37.9% | 39.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.5% | 25.5% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.