Betting Lines
| Spread | GMU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | GMU -600 COR +440 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GMU +18 | 180 | Won |
| Massey | GMU -10.6 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.8 (+17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GMU -11.4 (+6.6) | 153.0 (+27.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GMU -10.2 (+7.8) | 151.1 (+28.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GMU -11.5 (+6.5) | 151.2 (+28.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GMU -12.3 (+5.7) | 150.2 (+29.8) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2023 | GMU 90 – 83 COR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GMU | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-6 |
| Home | 17-3 | 7-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 85.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 84.6 |
| Massey | 9.4 (#65) | 4.1 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.96 (#20) | 0.62 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.34 (#23) | 0.39 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.613 (#36) | 0.541 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GMU | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 49.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 41.7% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 61.1% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 38.1% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.