Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -22.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | CLEM -6000 RAD +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +28 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -17.6 (+10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.4 (-29.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -16.0 (+12.0) | 152.0 (-22.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -18.0 (+10.0) | 147.5 (-17.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -17.4 (+10.6) | 150.7 (-20.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -16.1 (+11.9) | 150.2 (-20.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2023 | CLEM 93 – 58 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-7 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 9-7 |
| Home | 15-2 | 10-3 |
| Away | 9-3 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 9.5 (#50) | -1.6 (#202) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#93) | 1.46 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.94 (#85) | 2.56 (#57) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#125) | 0.574 (#85) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 56.1% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 37.5% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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