Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | TENN -135 ILL +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILL +13 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | ILL -2.1 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (-15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ILL -0.6 (-12.4) | 148.9 (-11.9) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILL -1.0 (-12.0) | 146.4 (-9.4) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ILL -0.8 (-12.2) | 148.9 (-11.9) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILL -0.2 (-12.8) | 149.6 (-12.6) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | TENN 66 – 64 ILL |
| Dec 9, 2023 | TENN 86 – 79 ILL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | ILL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 28-9 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 15-5 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 83.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 68.8 |
| Massey | 16.1 (#21) | 18.2 (#14) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.16 (#42) | 1.78 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.31 (#39) | 2.86 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.597 (#50) | 0.583 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | ILL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 44.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.8 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 44.3% | 39.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.5% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 12.5% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 13.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.