Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | SF -130 MEM +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +4 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | SF -7.8 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (-16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -7.7 (-11.7) | 145.3 (-13.3) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -6.3 (-10.3) | 145.7 (-13.7) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -9.7 (-13.7) | 146.3 (-14.3) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SF -8.6 (-12.6) | 146.2 (-14.2) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2025 | MEM 76 – 70 SF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 16-2 |
| Home | 17-2 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-5 | 11-2 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 13.0 (#23) | 11.6 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.08 (#38) | 2.89 (#10) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.64 (#27) | 4.22 (#13) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#58) | 0.751 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.6% | 51.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 49.1% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.9% | 59.1% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 32.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.2% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.5% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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