Betting Lines
| Spread | GASO -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | GWEB +440 GASO -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +4 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | GASO -9.1 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GASO -7.7 (+3.7) | 157.0 (+15.0) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GASO -6.9 (+2.9) | 150.8 (+21.2) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GASO -6.4 (+2.4) | 151.0 (+21.0) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GASO -6.3 (+2.3) | 155.2 (+16.8) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2024 | GASO 86 – 81 GWEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-29 | 21-16 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 8-10 |
| Home | 3-10 | 9-5 |
| Away | 0-16 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 86.7 | 80.3 |
| Massey | -18.8 (#363) | -4.7 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.00 (#344) | -0.73 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.41 (#343) | -1.57 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.372 (#340) | 0.447 (#265) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 60.8% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 63.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.