Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | KSU -148 HALL +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +11 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | KSU -4.2 (-15.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KSU -2.0 (-13.0) | 142.7 (+2.3) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KSU -4.9 (-15.9) | 142.9 (+2.1) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -1.8 (-12.8) | 142.3 (+2.7) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -2.8 (-13.8) | 141.8 (+3.2) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 10-10 |
| Home | 10-8 | 12-5 |
| Away | 1-10 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.6 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.8 | 65.3 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#77) | 8.6 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#78) | 2.45 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#94) | 4.04 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.616 (#30) | 0.615 (#31) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 41.0% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.6% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 24.3% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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