Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | TXSO +260 SHSU -325 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +12 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | SHSU -16.2 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 173.3 (-21.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -9.5 (-2.5) | 155.3 (-3.3) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -9.8 (-2.2) | 160.0 (-8.0) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -11.2 (-0.8) | 158.9 (-6.9) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -11.0 (-1.0) | 156.0 (-4.0) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2024 | SHSU 87 – 71 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-18 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-7 |
| Home | 9-5 | 13-1 |
| Away | 3-12 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 80.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.0 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -13.3 (#342) | 7.9 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.13 (#347) | 1.18 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.48 (#344) | 1.37 (#108) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#242) | 0.622 (#26) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.50 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 37.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 60.2% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 64.2% | 61.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.4% | 34.2% |
Game Analysis
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