Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | WVU -148 WAKE +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +9 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | WAKE -3.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (+2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -0.9 (-8.1) | 138.9 (+2.1) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -1.4 (-7.6) | 135.7 (+5.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -1.4 (-7.6) | 135.3 (+5.7) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -1.8 (-7.2) | 137.2 (+3.8) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 15-3 | 13-7 |
| Away | 3-6 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#81) | 10.4 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#164) | 0.56 (#145) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#153) | 0.90 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#194) | 0.528 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 79.2% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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