We live on blood / We are Sparta F.C "Theme from Sparta FC" - The Fall
McLeod Center · December 7, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread UNI -1.5 Away covered
O/U 135.5 Over
Money UNI -115 / WICH -105
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNI win
Actual WICH +5 143 Lost
Massey UNI -2.9 (-7.9) — —
Massey Totals — 126.4 (+16.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 95% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 95% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UNI -2.0 (-7.0) 129.1 (+13.9) 59% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML UNI -5.2 (-10.2) 128.0 (+15.0) 70% ✗
Baseline ML UNI -3.5 (-8.5) 126.8 (+16.2) 64% ✗
Baseline Plus ML UNI -3.1 (-8.1) 129.4 (+13.6) 59% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 15, 2024 WICH 79 – 73 UNI

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNI WICH
Overall 23-13 24-12
Conference 11-9 13-5
Home 12-5 15-3
Away 6-6 8-5
Neutral 5-2 1-4
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.6 77.6
Avg Pts Against 62.5 70.8
Massey 7.1 (#83) 8.9 (#69)
Bradley-Terry 1.79 (#58) -0.08 (#188)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.32 (#71) 0.36 (#155)
RPI 0.588 (#57) 0.494 (#181)
Shooting & Four Factors UNI WICH
FG% 45.4% 43.7%
3PT% 36.0% 33.9%
REB / G 32.6 41.0
OREB / G 7.0 15.0
AST / TO 1.79 1.21
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.3% 49.4%
TOV% 13.7% 14.1%
ORB% 20.2% 40.4%
FT Rate 18.5% 26.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 44.1% 46.0%
Opp TOV% 20.8% 17.1%
DRB% 73.1% 70.0%
Opp FT Rate 22.1% 25.5%

Game Analysis

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