Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | MRMK -185 FAIR +154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +11 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | MRMK -2.1 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -1.0 (+10.0) | 140.2 (-3.2) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -1.5 (+9.5) | 139.9 (-2.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -1.1 (+9.9) | 139.9 (-2.9) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -1.1 (+9.9) | 140.4 (-3.4) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 26, 2025 | MRMK 75 – 54 FAIR |
| Jan 3, 2025 | MRMK 67 – 54 FAIR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 11-9 |
| Home | 11-0 | 12-4 |
| Away | 9-8 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#296) | -5.6 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#219) | 0.15 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#228) | 0.14 (#168) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#290) | 0.489 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.6% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 27.7 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 14.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 56.3% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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