Betting Lines
| Spread | USU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | CLT +440 USU -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USU +26 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | USU -6.4 (-19.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (-13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USU -6.7 (-19.3) | 139.8 (-7.8) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USU -4.3 (-21.7) | 141.6 (-9.6) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USU -4.8 (-21.2) | 143.2 (-11.2) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USU -5.6 (-20.4) | 142.3 (-10.3) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2024 | USU 103 – 74 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | USU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 29-7 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 15-5 |
| Home | 11-6 | 14-1 |
| Away | 4-8 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 8-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#163) | 11.4 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#217) | 2.50 (#28) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#205) | 3.45 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#190) | 0.633 (#21) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | USU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 36.9% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.7% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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