Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | BYU -225 CLEM +185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +3 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -4.1 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (-22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -1.4 (+1.6) | 147.8 (-16.8) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -3.1 (-0.1) | 149.9 (-18.9) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -2.2 (+0.8) | 151.7 (-20.7) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -0.2 (+2.8) | 150.9 (-19.9) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-6 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.5 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 19.6 (#12) | 15.5 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.34 (#15) | 2.06 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.98 (#13) | 2.78 (#54) |
| RPI | 0.712 (#2) | 0.575 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 42.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 1.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.8% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 13.5% | 12.6% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 30.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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