Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -27.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | WVU -8000 LR +2200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +32 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -26.6 (+5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.0 (+22.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -23.0 (+9.0) | 130.6 (+17.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -22.8 (+9.2) | 131.2 (+16.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -24.0 (+8.0) | 131.3 (+16.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -23.0 (+9.0) | 131.6 (+16.4) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | LR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-11 |
| Home | 15-3 | 7-6 |
| Away | 3-6 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | W3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 7.0 (#86) | -14.9 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.00 (#179) | -1.82 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#163) | -2.69 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#218) | 0.376 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | LR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 24.4% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 14.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 60.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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