Betting Lines
| Spread | NCSU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | NCSU -1000 LIB +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCSU +40 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | NCSU -13.2 (+26.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.0 (-37.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCSU -9.8 (+30.2) | 152.0 (-22.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCSU -10.8 (+29.2) | 154.1 (-24.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCSU -10.8 (+29.2) | 153.5 (-23.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCSU -12.7 (+27.3) | 152.7 (-22.7) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCSU | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 17-3 |
| Home | 11-6 | 14-2 |
| Away | 6-4 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.2 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 14.1 (#30) | 5.7 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#69) | 0.47 (#145) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.94 (#49) | 0.84 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#76) | 0.515 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCSU | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 52.6% |
| 3PT% | 39.8% | 42.1% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 2.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.8% | 62.8% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 12.9% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.6% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.