Oklahoma State
Cowboys
80
–
74
FINAL
Neutral
Shriners Children’s Charleston Classic
Miami
Hurricanes
Betting Lines
| Spread | MIA -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | OKST +160 MIA -195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +6 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | MIA -0.8 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.2 (-9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIA -0.2 (+6.2) | 153.0 (+1.0) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -0.3 (+5.7) | 146.0 (+8.0) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -1.4 (+4.6) | 154.1 (-0.1) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIA -0.2 (+6.2) | 154.2 (-0.2) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-18 | 7-24 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 3-17 |
| Home | 13-4 | 7-10 |
| Away | 3-10 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 80.6 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#94) | 5.8 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#81) | 0.18 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.47 (#59) | 0.48 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#83) | 0.463 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 54.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 41.7% |
| REB / G | 40.8 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 63.0% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 12.1% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.2% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 79.1% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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