Betting Lines
| Spread | PITT -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | PITT -360 LSU +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PITT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PITT +11 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | PITT -15.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PITT -9.7 (+1.3) | 141.9 (-4.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PITT -8.8 (+2.2) | 143.3 (-6.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PITT -11.0 (-0.0) | 143.9 (-6.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PITT -9.6 (+1.4) | 142.8 (-5.8) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PITT | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 3-15 |
| Home | 13-4 | 11-7 |
| Away | 3-9 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 22.3 (#3) | 6.8 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.97 (#8) | 2.60 (#17) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.17 (#5) | 3.94 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.802 (#2) | 0.527 (#138) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PITT | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.3% | 49.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 42.2 | 40.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.84 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.0% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 12.8% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 30.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.6% | 39.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.