Betting Lines
| Spread | VAN -36.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +11 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | VAN -31.7 (-20.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAN -27.8 (-16.8) | 154.9 (+0.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAN -22.8 (-11.8) | 152.7 (+2.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VAN -27.0 (-16.0) | 153.5 (+1.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAN -25.3 (-14.3) | 154.9 (+0.1) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2023 | VAN 75 – 71 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 15-3 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-1 |
| Away | 8-4 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 85.7 | 79.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 76.0 |
| Massey | 22.2 (#5) | -4.8 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.26 (#4) | -1.68 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 7.81 (#5) | -2.33 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.693 (#4) | 0.421 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.7% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 2.15 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.2% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 12.6% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 16.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.2% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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