Betting Lines
| Spread | STBK -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | STBK -340 CMU +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +23 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | STBK -15.3 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (-16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STBK -9.0 (+14.0) | 145.7 (-12.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STBK -11.2 (+11.8) | 144.7 (-11.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STBK -12.3 (+10.7) | 145.0 (-12.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STBK -12.4 (+10.6) | 143.8 (-10.8) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2024 | STBK 73 – 72 CMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-9 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#172) | -11.0 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#88) | -1.86 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#119) | -2.71 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#86) | 0.420 (#302) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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