Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | WRST +220 BRAD -270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +3 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | BRAD -2.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.3 (-2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -1.5 (-1.5) | 145.8 (+5.2) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -3.9 (+0.9) | 145.2 (+5.8) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -0.0 (-3.0) | 147.0 (+4.0) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -2.7 (-0.3) | 148.8 (+2.2) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 28-9 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 15-5 |
| Home | 11-4 | 14-4 |
| Away | 3-12 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.5 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#128) | 4.3 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.71 (#54) | 0.74 (#134) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.75 (#51) | 1.11 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.661 (#29) | 0.485 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 52.1% |
| 3PT% | 25.0% | 43.9% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 61.5% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 14.5% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.9% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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