Vanderbilt
Commodores
76
–
60
FINAL
Neutral
Shriners Children’s Charleston Classic
Seton Hall
Pirates
Betting Lines
| Spread | VAN -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | VAN -230 HALL +195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +16 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | VAN -3.6 (+12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.2 (+3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAN -2.9 (+13.1) | 132.5 (+3.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAN -2.1 (+13.9) | 129.5 (+6.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAN -3.4 (+12.6) | 136.8 (-0.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VAN -2.1 (+13.9) | 132.4 (+3.6) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 2-18 |
| Home | 14-3 | 5-11 |
| Away | 3-7 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 61.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 5.7 (#86) | 2.1 (#134) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.24 (#29) | 0.14 (#181) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.14 (#17) | 1.00 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#121) | 0.513 (#160) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 27.9% | 40.0% |
| REB / G | 41.8 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 2.63 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 9.2% | 23.2% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 40.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 24.0% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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