Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | SCU -130 ASU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +3 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | SCU -3.2 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.2 (+6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -3.2 (-6.2) | 147.0 (+14.0) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -2.5 (-5.5) | 148.2 (+12.8) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -2.8 (-5.8) | 151.0 (+10.0) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -1.9 (-4.9) | 149.5 (+11.5) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2024 | ASU 81 – 74 SCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-1 | 10-5 |
| Away | 8-3 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 4-5 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.9 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 78.3 |
| Massey | 11.0 (#49) | 7.8 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#42) | 2.67 (#24) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.57 (#33) | 3.90 (#26) |
| RPI | 0.638 (#18) | 0.577 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 15.6 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.58 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 41.4% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 32.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.7% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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