Florida State
Seminoles
78
–
69
FINAL
Neutral
Basketball Hall of Fame Tip-Off Tournament
Temple
Owls
Betting Lines
| Spread | FSU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | FSU -200 TEM +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FSU +9 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | TEM -3.6 (+12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -1.7 (+10.7) | 142.2 (+4.8) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FSU -0.5 (+8.5) | 146.3 (+0.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -0.0 (+9.0) | 145.1 (+1.9) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -0.5 (+9.5) | 143.7 (+3.3) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FSU | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-5 | 12-2 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#157) | 4.3 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#73) | -0.10 (#194) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.17 (#75) | -0.50 (#214) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#73) | 0.517 (#155) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FSU | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 26.9% | 41.2% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 31.1% | 31.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 43.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.2% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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