Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | SDST +154 WYO -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +15 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | WYO -10.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (+9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -7.6 (-7.4) | 140.1 (+18.9) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -8.9 (-6.1) | 143.0 (+16.0) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -8.7 (-6.3) | 144.3 (+14.7) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -8.7 (-6.3) | 144.1 (+14.9) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2023 | WYO 78 – 65 SDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDST | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-4 | 14-4 |
| Away | 4-10 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.4 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 72.9 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#152) | 11.7 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#213) | 1.23 (#87) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#197) | 1.63 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#251) | 0.555 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDST | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 36.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 40.1% |
Game Analysis
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