Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -21.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | URI -4500 CAN +1700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +17 | 107 | Won |
| Massey | URI -22.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.9 (-22.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -18.4 (-1.4) | 132.4 (-25.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -17.9 (-0.9) | 134.1 (-27.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -18.4 (-1.4) | 131.7 (-24.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -18.2 (-1.2) | 130.8 (-23.8) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-15 |
| Home | 10-6 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 62.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#102) | -13.1 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#109) | -1.26 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#98) | -2.13 (#287) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#129) | 0.459 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 31.5% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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