Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -24.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | OSU -100000 CAM +4000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +44 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -23.1 (+20.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.9 (+34.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -20.4 (+23.6) | 133.9 (+30.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -21.7 (+22.3) | 134.8 (+29.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -21.8 (+22.2) | 132.8 (+31.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -22.0 (+22.0) | 133.3 (+30.7) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-6 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 16.3 (#14) | -0.3 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#85) | -0.74 (#245) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.92 (#88) | 0.02 (#186) |
| RPI | 0.602 (#60) | 0.429 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.6% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 29.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 34.0% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 77.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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