Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | CBU -950 SOU +625 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +8 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -14.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.6 (-20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -11.6 (-3.6) | 154.3 (-12.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -11.4 (-3.4) | 153.5 (-11.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -12.8 (-4.8) | 151.9 (-9.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -13.3 (-5.3) | 152.7 (-10.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 11-7 |
| Home | 15-0 | 8-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 80.2 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#115) | -5.9 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#64) | -1.36 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.90 (#78) | -1.99 (#281) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#59) | 0.429 (#297) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 41.1 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.5 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 41.1% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.0% | 37.4% |
Game Analysis
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