Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | TTU -750 SYR +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +5 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -15.9 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 169.4 (-16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -10.8 (-5.8) | 155.6 (-2.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -10.1 (-5.1) | 154.6 (-1.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -11.9 (-6.9) | 155.1 (-2.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -11.5 (-6.5) | 156.1 (-3.1) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 7-13 |
| Home | 15-3 | 11-6 |
| Away | 8-2 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 77.8 |
| Massey | 13.6 (#20) | -2.3 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#207) | 0.02 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#202) | -0.04 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#154) | 0.477 (#208) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.7% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 41.0% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 42.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 1.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 62.8% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 13.1% |
| ORB% | 40.9% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.5% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 82.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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