Betting Lines
| Spread | DART -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | SHU -102 DART -118 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +22 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | DART -1.4 (+23.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.2 (-10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -0.9 (+21.1) | 147.5 (+0.5) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DART -1.2 (+23.2) | 148.8 (-0.8) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -0.0 (+22.0) | 147.8 (+0.2) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DART -0.0 (+22.0) | 148.6 (-0.6) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2024 | DART 81 – 76 SHU |
| Dec 21, 2023 | SHU 67 – 57 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 11-16 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 5-9 |
| Home | 8-5 | 5-8 |
| Away | 5-13 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 78.4 |
| Massey | -7.8 (#289) | -2.0 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#264) | -1.07 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#270) | -1.68 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#275) | 0.463 (#242) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.5% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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