Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | YSU -325 UPST +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +9 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -7.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -8.3 (+0.7) | 143.0 (-4.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -6.8 (+2.2) | 140.9 (-1.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -6.4 (+2.6) | 142.2 (-3.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -7.0 (+2.0) | 143.2 (-4.2) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2024 | YSU 72 – 64 UPST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 5-11 |
| Home | 10-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 75.7 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#148) | -2.1 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#180) | -0.09 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#184) | -0.83 (#221) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#197) | 0.505 (#160) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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