Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -21.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | SBU -3200 LEM +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +11 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | SBU -17.7 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.9 (+16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -17.3 (-6.3) | 147.5 (+25.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -13.3 (-2.3) | 148.6 (+24.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -13.8 (-2.8) | 149.5 (+23.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -13.9 (-2.9) | 147.6 (+25.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2024 | SBU 71 – 52 LEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-7 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#111) | -9.0 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#46) | -1.55 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.75 (#60) | -2.56 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.641 (#20) | 0.431 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 38.3% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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