Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Under |
| Money | MASS -108 KENT -112 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENT +10 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | MASS -3.9 (-13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 175.8 (-47.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -4.2 (-14.2) | 163.4 (-35.4) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -2.2 (-12.2) | 157.0 (-29.0) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -3.2 (-13.2) | 159.6 (-31.6) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -3.2 (-13.2) | 161.9 (-33.9) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 14-4 |
| Home | 11-5 | 14-3 |
| Away | 2-8 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 82.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 80.6 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#157) | 1.1 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#161) | 0.66 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#166) | 0.42 (#147) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#174) | 0.533 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 38.9% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 36.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 36.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.1% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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